Banksy returns to the center of the market with a rare sale: Fair Warning will auction Girl and Balloon on Found Landscape, with an estimate between 13 million and 18 million dollars.
Why does this Banksy auction matter?
On May 20, the 2012 work will be offered in a rare live auction at the flagship store of Tiffany & Co. in New York. The piece comes from a private collection and has never been publicly exhibited.
However, the operation is not just about a single canvas. It also signals Fair Warning‘s confidence in the commercial strength of the British artist, today among the most influential of his generation. The platform’s founder, a former executive at Christie’s, has already contributed to the 450 million sale of Salvator Mundi.
What role does the Crude Oils series play?
The work comes from the Crude Oils series, initiated in the early 2000s. The project debuted in a small London showcase and overturned idealized landscapes with signs of contemporary decay.
In Show Me the Monet (2005), Claude Monet’s famous pond appears abandoned, invaded by shopping carts. In Monkey Poison (2004), an idyllic village is altered by the presence of a monkey drinking gasoline.
In this context, Girl and Balloon on Found Landscape concentrates some of the artist’s most recognizable motifs. The scene shows a river rendered in light tones, a mountain in the background, and the red balloon as the only chromatic accent.
How does it fit into Banksy’s market?
Since the first Girl With Balloon traced on a London wall in 2002, that figure has become central to Banksy’s visual language. Its spread has transformed an urban image into an immediately recognizable symbol.
Moreover, the artist’s record remains Love Is in the Bin (2018), the self-destructed work sold for 25.4 million dollars by Sotheby’s London in 2021, equivalent to 18 times the estimate. It remains his highest auction result.
The Crude Oils canvases have confirmed strong demand. Sunflowers From Petrol Station (2005) reached 14.5 million dollars at Christie’s New York in 2021, while Show Me the Monet hit 9.9 million dollars at Sotheby’s London in 2020, according to the Artnet Price Database.
Last year, Crude Oil (Vettriano), from 2005, from the collection of Mark Hoppus of Blink-182, achieved 5.5 million dollars at Sotheby’s London.
Why is Fair Warning betting on the live auction?
The platform has used this format only twice. One of these occasions saw the portrait of Brigitte Bardot by Andy Warhol, dated 1974, reach 16.7 million dollars.
That said, the choice of venue also reflects practical logic. Before the invitation-only sale, the painting will be displayed from May 7 in the Tiffany’s Fifth Avenue store, alongside existing works by Damien Hirst, Daniel Arsham, and Anna Weyant.
The location has been deemed functional: it is close to the Fair Warning offices, and the setup was coordinated directly between the parties. Overall, the operation confirms the platform’s desire to bypass traditional models of auction houses.
In 2020, Fair Warning had already mediated the 10.8 million dollars sale of a 1982 painting by Jean-Michel Basquiat, still the most valuable artwork sold through an app. More recently, the platform introduced the No Warning format, allowing direct purchases or binding offers.
The first round was successful, and more works are already in preparation. The Banksy auction is thus presented as a clear test for new formats and for a market still willing to reward rarity.

As expert in digital marketing, Amelia began working in the fintech sector in 2014 after writing her thesis on Bitcoin technology. Previously author for several international crypto-related magazines and CMO at Eidoo. She is now the co-founder and editor-in-chief of The Cryptonomist and Econique.
She is also a marketing teacher at Digital Coach in Milan and she published a book about NFTs for the Italian publishing house Mondadori, while she is also helping artists and company to entering in the sector. As advisor, Amelia is also involved in metaverse-related project such as The Nemesis and OVER.


